Moe_Nox posted:
No. China would win because the west is too soft hearted. In a war without remorse the US would destroy China to whatever degree of severity that we allowed ourselves.
Taking nukes out of the equation, it would probably fall to Russia/China and a few of their allies (Syria/Iran/some African countries). So that leaves Australia, the EU, India (although Pakistan might go to the Chinese if this war breaks out, but with no nukes, the best they'd hope to do is draw a little Indian attention and some US/NATO attention to Afghanistan.
This pretty much guarantees a naval encounter. No sane general is going to march into Russia as a main strategy, and I doubt many neighbors would be wrong to get involved on the US side to allow a forward assault to start in their country.
China would have to invade Mexico, which would be unwilling to allow them a forward base, so they'd be drawn into the war if China went that route and Canada has no chance of lending them aid.
Again, this leaves the fight to air and naval strategies. Much like WWII, there would be an emphasis on island control, which would not sit well with the American public. We wouldn't like our troops dying in tropical islands of death fighting tooth and nail against asuperpower and public opinion of the war would plumet.
Until the first American city was bombed. Then there would be no force on the planet capable of stopping the American war machine. A democratic power fully engaged in a just war is a terribly powerful force (and it would be Just in 99% of Americans eyes no matter who shot first or who created the environment for the inevitable.)
The Chinese people would end up overthrowing its government mid-war and surrendering. The combined economic force of the allies would easily overtake the Russians and they would either have held out in support for the Chinese the entire war, or fall out before the end, depending on how strangled their economy was.
Russia would probably be on the offensive Cold War style, striking at satellite countries but never teaching on the allies directly.
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