VaultNetwork.net Vault Network Boards
Author Topic: The Slippery Slope: Analysing The Decline of World of Warcraft [Locked]
Spookysheep  4 stars
Title: Lieker of Cheese
Posts: 1,248
Registered: 2002-1-9 06:49:19
http://massively.joystiq.com/2011/08/31/the-slippery-slope-analysing-the-decline-of-world-of-warcraft/


GREAT article, includes survey and Greg Streets official "excuse".


Just keeps getting funnier by the day

 

-----signature-----
I liek cheese
Pirates > Ninjas
.....................................
Dums  1 star
Title: Moderator
The mystery flavor

Posts: 248
Registered: 2002-10-29 08:17:13
2800 isn't much of a sample size.

It's definitely, by definition, a decline. I don't agree that it's a huge deal, though, when they've dropped to 11 million and the next runner up mmo has what, 2-3 million?

 

-----signature-----
hi
Blisteringballs  2 stars
Posts: 272
Registered: 2009-8-12 12:41:21
Dums posted:

2800 isn't much of a sample size.

It's definitely, by definition, a decline. I don't agree that it's a huge deal, though, when they've dropped to 11 million and the next runner up mmo has what, 2-3 million?



Considering statistical inference and all that, 2,800-ish is a good sample size. Total volume doesn't matter in this case, nor do comparisons to competing products, since it's focused squarely on a single game.

This is the most public display of a company consistently avoiding the obvious that I can personally recall. The last time I saw something like this happening was when Apple fell from grace back in the day, when they decided to focus on company vision rather than customer wishes - and squandered their market share by doing so.

Blizzard will not recover until they change the leadership of WoW development. EVERYONE knows this but them. Shades of 80's Apple all over again.

 

-----signature-----
Fedup23  2 stars
Posts: 358
Registered: 2006-7-14 06:15:32
Gdammit ...I keep telling you, I'm just bored after 7 years!!!
Spookysheep  4 stars
Title: Lieker of Cheese
Posts: 1,248
Registered: 2002-1-9 06:49:19
Um, 2800 is WAY more than enough of a sample size.

Statistics 101 dudes.

 

-----signature-----
I liek cheese
Pirates > Ninjas
.....................................
Conceited  1 star
Posts: 182
Registered: 2002-1-29 07:38:03
Which part is the "analysing" part?

Possibly the least informative article I have ever read.

I kept looking for the -next page- link etc.

I hope they don't pay this guy.

 

-----signature-----
Conceited
Conceited  1 star
Posts: 182
Registered: 2002-1-29 07:38:03
Ah, apparently this is the real article? http://www.gamasutra.com/view/feature/6473/world_of_warcraft_and_life_after_.php

 

-----signature-----
Conceited
GutterSludge  4 stars
Posts: 1,034
Registered: 2005-11-6 10:54:55
Spookysheep posted:

Um, 2800 is WAY more than enough of a sample size.

Statistics 101 dudes.

 

-----signature-----
Guttersludge
People just can't handle the truth.
NeMeFieD said:"ea I Ucmed for 12 days straight.."
njwCSUS posted:I'm homosexual, so really, its ongoing sexual attraction to my father, not my mother.
Arunne  1 star
Title: The Anonymous
Posts: 177
Registered: 2003-11-3 14:11:47
Blisteringballs posted:

Dums posted:

2800 isn't much of a sample size.

It's definitely, by definition, a decline. I don't agree that it's a huge deal, though, when they've dropped to 11 million and the next runner up mmo has what, 2-3 million?



Considering statistical inference and all that, 2,800-ish is a good sample size. Total volume doesn't matter in this case, nor do comparisons to competing products, since it's focused squarely on a single game.

This is the most public display of a company consistently avoiding the obvious that I can personally recall. The last time I saw something like this happening was when Apple fell from grace back in the day, when they decided to focus on company vision rather than customer wishes - and squandered their market share by doing so.

Blizzard will not recover until they change the leadership of WoW development. EVERYONE knows this but them. Shades of 80's Apple all over again.



I hear Steve Jobs has some free time now, maybe he can come and turn it around.

 

-----signature-----
"Let's agree to respect each others views, no matter how wrong yours may be"
"I may not agree with what you say, but I respect your right to be punished for it."
Tai-Daishar_MT  2 stars
Title: Moderator
Troll Eradicator

Posts: 469
Registered: 2000-3-9 15:14:13
Spookysheep posted:

Um, 2800 is WAY more than enough of a sample size.


Statistics 101 dudes.



Well, it's not WAY more but it is more than big enough.


Using 10 million as our subscriber number (nice and easy to make the formula work), a sample size of 2,653 gives you a confidence interval of 99% with a margin of error of 2.5%

 

-----signature-----
Fare thee well VN, Vini, Vidi, Vici!

VaultNetwork.net is an independently operated community forum and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or technically based on IGN, GameSpy, FilePlanet, GameStats, or the former IGN/GameSpy Vault Network.
References to VaultNetwork.net mean this site/domain. VNBoards-style presentation is a visual homage only. By using this site, you agree to the forum rules.