Currently a 3-way tie. Good news for Paul as well as Frothy Fecal Matter.
NH is a gimme for Mitt. Has been this entire cycle. A win for Mitt in NH is meaningless, since it has very few delegates (they got hit with a 50% penalty) and he's had a monster lead for months. But if anyone beats him, ties him or even comes close, it will be a major loss.
SC is going to be where the real fight starts. Mitt will be portrayed as the frontrunner by the GOP and media Establishment because they badly want him to win. And SC is a very, very Establishment GOP state where the voters do as they are told by their superiors. But the state also has, shall we say, misgivings with the Mormon religion. Frothy Fecal Matter might play well there, but I expect him to fold just like Cain and Newt once his surge has come and gone. Paul will likely become the anti-Mitt which is precisely what the Establishment has been trying to avoid. For SC I predict 1. Mitt 2. Paul. Distant third: FFM or Perry.
If Paul can carry the fight into Florida he may have a real shot. But it will be very difficult between Mitt's money, and the entire GOP Establishment and the media uniting behind him in order to squash the guy who doesn't play by the rules.
-----signature-----
"I try to make men-only kinship?" - bstulic
"It takes balls to execute an innocent man." - actual Republican voter
http://tinyurl.com/6p8a7rp - summary of Israel vs. Palestine
