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Author Topic: What is the lesson of the Eurozone crisis? [Locked]
NuEM  4 stars
Posts: 1,007
Registered: 2004-3-2 09:08:11
That you can't have a financial union without also having a political, economical and social union.

 

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illmyrin  3 stars
Posts: 705
Registered: 2001-12-25 11:52:26
"There will be a global, engineered, economic collapse used to bring in a one world currency and one world government." Illmyrin, 2002 The Economy Is Great Land.

 

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Friarspam  3 stars
Posts: 638
Registered: 2007-1-23 07:01:27
Here is a great example of why the US is in deep crap that a friend sent me.


* U.S. Tax revenue: $2,170,000,000,000
* Fed budget: $3,820,000,000,000
* New debt: $ 1,650,000,000,000
* National debt: $14,271,000,000,000
* Recent budget cuts: $ 38,500,000,000

It's hard to keep track of all those zeros, so let's remove 8 of them and pretend it's a household budget:


* Annual family income: $21,700
* Money the family spent: $38,200
* New debt on the credit card: $16,500
* Outstanding balance on the credit card: $142,710
* Total budget cuts: $385.. (Doesn't even come close to covering the interest on the debt of $5,000+.)


Now, can someone tell me how doing the same old stuff is viable?

 

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Ptilk  4 stars
Title: Creepy old pirate
Posts: 2,359
Registered: 2002-2-13 14:52:58
Calls for austerity are stupid.

Actually going thru with austerity measures is suicidal.

Debt isn't the problem, listening to the idiots who loaned you the money you spent is.
Bjorvald  2 stars
Posts: 334
Registered: 2002-4-5 20:51:00
For me the overriding lesson is that governments will never do the right things and they will always find the most expensive way possible to fail.

All while ensuring the maximum possible long-term pain for their people.

 

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Sin_of_Onin  4 stars
Posts: 1,307
Registered: 2005-6-29 08:21:12
Friarspam posted:

Here is a great example of why the US is in deep crap that a friend sent me.


* U.S. Tax revenue: $2,170,000,000,000

* Fed budget: $3,820,000,000,000

* New debt: $ 1,650,000,000,000

* National debt: $14,271,000,000,000

* Recent budget cuts: $ 38,500,000,000


It's hard to keep track of all those zeros, so let's remove 8 of them and pretend it's a household budget:


* Annual family income: $21,700

* Money the family spent: $38,200

* New debt on the credit card: $16,500

* Outstanding balance on the credit card: $142,710

* Total budget cuts: $385.. (Doesn't even come close to covering the interest on the debt of $5,000+.)


Now, can someone tell me how doing the same old stuff is viable?



The thing with debt is that if you are borrowing from other Americans then you are crowding out investment and other consumption. If you are borrowing from a foreign nation you are not crowding out that investment but you are proping up short term consumption (and investment) while hurting production.


The equation of government debt changes drastically once foreign investment is considered.


I think it is pretty clear that Greece is struggling in large part because their consumption was so inflated beyond their production and the economy can't respond and make the correction.

 

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Abaddon_Ambrosius  4 stars
Title: Retired Theurgist TL
Posts: 1,674
Registered: 2001-12-21 09:51:39
Ptilk posted:

Calls for austerity are stupid.

Actually going thru with austerity measures is suicidal.

Debt isn't the problem, listening to the idiots who loaned you the money you spent is.



Deficit spending beyond your annual income or ability to repay all outstanding debts within 1-2 years is stupid.

Digging a hole of 50... 90... 120% of your GDP is suicidal.

Asking others to let you dig the hole EVEN DEEPER is murderously stupid and should be punishable as treason.

 

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Koneg  3 stars
Title: Evil Genius
Posts: 894
Registered: 2001-12-4 15:31:28
Sin_of_Onin posted:

Meanwhile the problem will likely be blamed on things like social programs which are present in both nations and is a largely immaterial issue to the crisis.

Right, because spending way more money then you take in has absolutely no effect on your debt burden.

 

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theredkay1  3 stars
Posts: 611
Registered: 2008-5-16 10:37:09
Friarspam posted:

It's hard to keep track of all those zeros, so let's remove 8 of them and pretend it's a household budget:


* Annual family income: $21,700

* Money the family spent: $38,200

* New debt on the credit card: $16,500

* Outstanding balance on the credit card: $142,710

* Total budget cuts: $385.. (Doesn't even come close to covering the interest on the debt of $5,000+.)


Total Assets - $1,800,000

Chance of ever running short of cash - 0%

Now, can someone tell me how doing the same old stuff is viable?



http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/z1/Current/


You forgot two important things.


The 7 billion people involved in the debt markets dont share your outlook either.
theredkay1  3 stars
Posts: 611
Registered: 2008-5-16 10:37:09
Abaddon_Ambrosius posted:

Digging a hole of 50... 90... 120% of your GDP is suicidal.



The plethora of countries with high debt/GDP ratios and low interest rates should impact your opinion. The actual world just doesnt agree with you.

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