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Author Topic: Looks like somone has been systematically flipping votes for Romney [Locked]
Scarne  4 stars
Title: Capo di Scientifico
Posts: 1,087
Registered: 2001-7-23 15:24:34
http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthread.php?363915

Quote:

The basic summary:
1) Romney is always the only benefactor.
2) There is evidence of vote flipping going back to the 2008 primary.
3) The algorithm(s) being used are rather crude, often basic 1:1 flipping.
4) Votes are often, but not always, siphoned from a single candidate. This candidate is often Ron Paul, but has also been Gingrich, Santorum, and even Huckabee in 2008.
5) Romney benefits as precincts increase in size, and this increase is algorithmically 'clean' with little or no 'white noise' common to non-altered candidates. For example, we might see a steady 10% rise in Romney's votes from precincts sized 50% to 80%, at which point it increases to a steady 15% (far after any differences in size should matter).
6) Demographics are not at play, though this is the 'debunk' most often brought up by people new to the thread.


Romney is getting statistically "impossible" vote breakdowns.

 

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Modeeb  4 stars
Title: A Ghost In The Machine
Posts: 1,258
Registered: 2002-4-19 10:48:36
He is as crooked as a dogs back leg.

Remember Bush beat Gore because of cheating in Florida using his governor brother and kamakaze conservative Secretary of State .

 

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Moe_Nox  4 stars
Title: In Moe We Trust
Posts: 1,962
Registered: 2007-2-4 12:17:56
Gore lost because he was insane.

 

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paulg_68  4 stars
Posts: 2,469
Registered: 2009-7-27 18:45:54
If election fraud happened in Florida, why hasn't anyone gone to jail over it?

Did Obama forget to tell the DOJ to investigate it?

 

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Taliesihne  4 stars
Title: Wind on the Deep Waters
Posts: 1,117
Registered: 2004-2-19 04:47:59
The irony of Ron Paul supporters crying foul is too much to bear, considering how outright shady they are about the delegate process.

 

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First comes smiles, then lies. Last is gunfire. -Roland Deschain, of Gilead
Modeeb  4 stars
Title: A Ghost In The Machine
Posts: 1,258
Registered: 2002-4-19 10:48:36
Criminals evade justice all of the time.

 

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"What is here is there. What is not here is nowhere." Vishvasara Tantra
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Fail Again. Fail Better. Samuel Beckett
ZigmundZag  4 stars
Title: Grammar Nazi
Posts: 1,211
Registered: 2002-3-25 23:03:00
Scarne posted:

http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthread.php?363915

Quote:

The basic summary:
1) Romney is always the only benefactor.
2) There is evidence of vote flipping going back to the 2008 primary.
3) The algorithm(s) being used are rather crude, often basic 1:1 flipping.
4) Votes are often, but not always, siphoned from a single candidate. This candidate is often Ron Paul, but has also been Gingrich, Santorum, and even Huckabee in 2008.
5) Romney benefits as precincts increase in size, and this increase is algorithmically 'clean' with little or no 'white noise' common to non-altered candidates. For example, we might see a steady 10% rise in Romney's votes from precincts sized 50% to 80%, at which point it increases to a steady 15% (far after any differences in size should matter).
6) Demographics are not at play, though this is the 'debunk' most often brought up by people new to the thread.


Romney is getting statistically "impossible" vote breakdowns.

Interesting. So what's your take on it, Scarne? Is this more craziness from Apaulogists or is there something to it? I see two likely causes other than vote siphoning.

1) Demographics do play into it, despite their claims otherwise, and
2) The effect of having a bigger media budget than your competitors.

I think the latter is the most likely. If I had the time, I'd sift through the original thread to see how the analysis was done.

 

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Moe_Nox  4 stars
Title: In Moe We Trust
Posts: 1,962
Registered: 2007-2-4 12:17:56

 

-----signature-----
The Nanny State cometh
Currency should be bacon cheeseburgers and blow jobs... - Reese
Life at the Outpost: http://www.collegehumor.com/video:1771556
Modeeb  4 stars
Title: A Ghost In The Machine
Posts: 1,258
Registered: 2002-4-19 10:48:36
Gore was a far superior choice to Bush-Cheney. You guys got your way and look at the historical futz up he put us in.

 

-----signature-----
"What is here is there. What is not here is nowhere." Vishvasara Tantra
"Ever tried, Ever Failed. No matter. Try Again.
Fail Again. Fail Better. Samuel Beckett
Moe_Nox  4 stars
Title: In Moe We Trust
Posts: 1,962
Registered: 2007-2-4 12:17:56

 

-----signature-----
The Nanny State cometh
Currency should be bacon cheeseburgers and blow jobs... - Reese
Life at the Outpost: http://www.collegehumor.com/video:1771556

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